|Activist blogger/journalist Joesph Mailander's Tweet on Friday night |
suggests that a rumored Big Labor poll shows Trutanich far from the comfort zone.
The poll was likely used to justify the Los Angeles County Federation of Labor AFL-CIO's endorsement of Trutanich and probably was conducted before the latest in a series of scandals shook the foundations of the City Attorney's bid to become DA. Those scandals concerned Trutanich's false claims of police endorsements, his illegal 'Sheriff Baca in uniform' endorsement, the 'Carmen the Barbarian' cover story in last issue of LA Weekly, and of course, KFI AM640 talk show hosts John and Ken pulling their support of Trutanich.
Trutanich's campaign is also understood to be under investigation for other misconduct consistent with his record of lies, deceit and deception. Once these become public it will likely further weaken the former
The leaked poll results appear to be consistent with an anonymous tip received by the Dragnet last week indicating that Alan Jackson's lock on republican support places him within 2 points of Trutanich, with Jackie Lacey and Mario Trujillo splitting democratic partisan support.
|The unofficial poll shows Trutanich holding a slender lead|
despite a slew of endorsements and an enviable campaign warchest.
28% Carmen Trutanich
26% Alan Jackson
19% Mario Trujillo
21% Jackie Lacey
3% Danette Meyers
2% Steve Ipsen
1% Bobby Grace
Trutanich has a campaign warchest topping his closest rivals by a margin of 2 to 1, however, his lead in the polls is nothing like 2 to 1, and well within a margin of error that could see any one of the three closest challengers facing him in a run off election where any lead he has could easily be overcome by the combination of anti-Trutanich sentiment.
Ironically and perhaps tellingly, Trutanich's position in this early poll mirrors the way 2009 City Attorney favorite Jack Weiss was soundly removed from political life. Weiss placed highest in the City Attorney primary leading his closest rival (Trutanich) by ten points. However, in the run off election, Weiss lost by a massive 12 point margin.
Many see Trutanich as being in an identical situation to Weiss; well funded, endorsed by significant special interests, and permanently dogged by scandals that go to the root of the public's mistrust of unethical career politicians.
Trutanich faces a total of seven challengers to his bid to become DA, with an eighth candidate rumored to be considering run. The size of the field, coupled with significant fundraising by the top three challengers, makes a November run off election inevitable now that the polls show considerable voter resistance to Trutanich.
March 9 is the last date for nominating papers to be filed at the LA County Registrar's Office. As we go to press, 5 candidates have filed according to the Registrar's website; John Breault III, Alan Jackson, Jackie Lacey, Danette Meyers and Carmen Trutanich. Mario Trujillo is expected to file this week, however, the filing intentions of Bobby Grace and Steve Ipsen are unclear.
Ipsen, who has raised the least amount of campaign donations, is likely to be hugely disappointed with the way organized labor rejected his candidacy after all the effort he put into unionizing the DA's Office. The slap in the face that Ipsen received from AFL-CIO, who apparently had little regard for Ipsen's dedication to unionization, will likely cause a rift between the ADDA and AFSCME that could lead to decertification, according to sources.