Rarely has any incumbent been unable to claim a lead, albeit a small one. The LA Times reported that 'The city attorney could still make headway with the substantial number of undecided voters. "The race certainly hasn't been decided," said USC's Dan Schnur, director of the poll. But he is in a tough — and somewhat unusual — position for an incumbent seeking reelection from voters who do not appear to be particularly unhappy, pollsters said.
"It's an uphill road for Trutanich," Schnur said. "This is not an angry, throw-the-bums out electorate, so you would assume [there would be] a better landscape for an incumbent."
What is significant, perhaps, what Schnur did not say - that Trutanich's record of failure and 'truth challenged' statements has cost him support he might otherwise have. Trutanich's disastrous finish in the DA primary marked him indelibly as a liar who has no regard for his own word. Any hope Trutanich may have had that voters would suffer from short term memories was dashed when he finished a distant second place to Mike Feuer in the City Attorney primary.
Although Trutanich has fared better in post election polls, and at least statistically he appears to have a chance at hanging on to the job he did not want when he had his sights set on becoming DA, most experts agree that he is finished in LA politics.
Chris St. Hilaire of M4 told the Times that 'Trutanich was losing among Democrats, independents and Anglo voters "and that's a huge problem for him." A large number of voters who said they were undecided before the March primary election ended up voting for the city attorney, St. Hilaire said. In the May runoff, the new poll shows Trutanich would need to win undecided voters by almost 2 to 1 to overcome Feuer, he said.'
With Trutanich lagging in fundraising and lacking a campaign strategy that seems incapable of doing anything more than firing off ethics complaints, he has no chance at winning the undecided vote by the 2 to 1 margin he needs.
In all likelihood on May 21, in the only poll that matters, Trutanich might convert as many as half of the 38% who are currently undecided, with the other half going to Feuer. But even if Trutanich can rehabilitate his public image to the point were half the undecideds broke for him, that would still mean Feuer finishing with 56% of the vote, and Trutanich losing with 44%.
|A stunned Carmen Trutanich was forced to do the 'Walk of Shame' as his|
hopes of using the City Attorney's office as a springboard to the DA's office
were dashed to smithereens by voters who rejected him.